--- title: "TRUMP Memecoin Falls to $1.22 as Gemini Claim Faces Scrutiny | MemeBlock" description: "TRUMP memecoin hit a reported $1.22 low on November 4 as Democrats won Congress. Gemini's prediction of further losses remains unverified." last_updated: "2026-11-02" --- Meme culture / MEMEBLOCK # TRUMP Memecoin Hits $1.22 as Gemini's Crash Prediction Faces The Official Trump memecoin reached a reported all-time low of $1.22 on November 4, 2026, as Democrats secured control of both congressional chambers. [A. Nav](/author/a-nav/) · $TRUMP · Solana November 5, 2026 6 min read Official Trump (TRUMP) memecoin price decline to $1.22, with a Gemini AI prediction of further losses and the 2026 US midterm election results. TRUMP memecoin hits a reported $1.22 all-time low as Democrats win control of Congress, while an unverified Gemini AI prediction points to further potential declines. SHARE THIS STORY Key takeaways - TRUMP memecoin recorded a reported all-time low of $1.22 on November 4 2026. - Democrats secured control of both chambers of the US Congress in the 2026 midterm elections. - The Gemini-attributed prediction of further TRUMP price declines remains independently unverified. The Official Trump (TRUMP) memecoin recorded a reported all-time low of $1.22 on November 4, 2026, as Democrats secured control of both chambers of the US Congress in the midterm elections. The decline has drawn attention to the political token's market performance, while a separate prediction attributed to Google's Gemini AI has raised questions about its potential downside heading into 2027. According to historical market data from CoinCheckup, TRUMP traded between $1.56 and $1.61 during the November 3 daily session before recording a low of $1.22 in the November 4 session. Its November 4 daily close was reported at $1.27. CryptoNews reported that Gemini projected the token could trade between $0.15 and $0.40 by January 1, 2027, with a more severe scenario potentially taking its price below $0.10. However, the original Gemini conversation has not been independently authenticated, meaning the forecast should be treated as an attributed AI-generated prediction rather than a verified market outlook. The developments come as the political environment surrounding President Donald Trump changes following the Democratic victories in Congress. However, the available evidence does not establish that the election results directly caused the token's decline. ## TRUMP Memecoin Price Falls to a Reported Record Low The latest historical data indicates that Official Trump experienced substantial selling pressure around the November 4 market session. CoinCheckup's historical records show that TRUMP opened the November 3 session at approximately $1.71 and closed at $1.60. On November 4, the token recorded a high of $1.61 before falling to $1.22 and closing at approximately $1.27. This represents an intraday decline of approximately 24.2% from the November 4 session's reported opening price of $1.59 to its $1.22 low. The November 4 closing price also represented a decline of approximately 20.6% compared with the previous session's $1.60 close. Calculation: (1.60 − 1.27) ÷ 1.60 × 100 = 20.625%. These are calculations using CoinCheckup's reported daily figures, not independently reconstructed exchange-level trades. DeFiLlama separately identifies November 4, 2026, as the token's all-time-low date, with the recorded price at $1.22. Its historical market overview also lists an earlier all-time high of $73.43 on January 19, 2025. The difference between the previous peak and the reported November low illustrates the extent of the token's longer-term decline. However, a comparison between an all-time high and a later low does not explain the events responsible for individual price movements. ## What Is Gemini AI Predicting for the TRUMP Token? The prediction attracting attention originated in a November 4 CryptoNews report titled Gemini AI Predicts a Brutal Unwinding of the TRUMP Memecoin. According to that publication, Google's Gemini AI suggested that Official Trump could trade within a $0.15–$0.40 range by January 1, 2027. The report also described a more bearish possibility in which the token could fall below $0.10. These figures would represent a substantial decline from the token's reported November 4 low. For example, a move from $1.22 to $0.40 would represent a decline of approximately 67.2%. A fall to $0.15 would represent approximately 87.7%, while a move below $0.10 would mean a decline exceeding 91.8%. Gemini-attributed price scenarios Illustrative calculations using the reported $1.22 November 4 low as the starting point. $1.22 Starting reference $0.40 67.2% lower $0.15 87.7% lower Below $0.10 More than 91.8% lower These are hypothetical scenarios attributed to Gemini by CryptoNews, not independently verified Gemini outputs or guaranteed future prices. There is an important distinction between an AI-generated scenario and a formal financial forecast. The retrieved CryptoNews article does not provide an independently accessible Gemini conversation containing the original question, complete response, timestamp or methodology. Consequently, readers cannot establish whether the figures resulted from a specific analytical model, hypothetical assumptions or a conversational response. Gemini's name alone does not establish that Google has issued an official prediction about the cryptocurrency. ## TRUMP Memecoin Records New Low Amid Political Uncertainty Official Trump (TRUMP) recorded a reported all-time low of $1.22 on November 4, 2026, according to DeFiLlama's historical market data. The decline coincided with the US midterm elections, in which Democrats secured control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. The timing has brought renewed attention to the political risks surrounding the Trump-branded cryptocurrency, although available evidence does not establish that the election results directly caused the price decline. Historical data from CoinCheckup indicates that TRUMP closed near $1.60 on November 3 before falling to approximately $1.27 on November 4. Its reported intraday low of $1.22 represented a substantial decline from the previous session. These figures illustrate the token's weakness during the period, but a daily price comparison alone cannot identify the source of selling pressure. ### Gemini's Bearish TRUMP Price Prediction CryptoNews reported on November 4 that Google's Gemini AI projected a potential TRUMP price range of $0.15 to $0.40 by January 1, 2027, with a more severe scenario placing the token below $0.10. Compared with the reported November 4 low of $1.22, those scenarios would represent potential additional declines of approximately 67% to more than 91%. However, the original Gemini conversation, including its prompt and complete response, has not been independently authenticated. The figures should therefore be understood as predictions attributed to Gemini by CryptoNews, rather than an official Google forecast or a verified financial model. ### Democratic Midterm Victory Changes the Political Landscape The Democratic victories in both congressional chambers represent a significant political development for the Trump administration. A change in congressional control could influence legislative priorities, committee oversight and future discussions surrounding cryptocurrency regulation. However, these possibilities depend on subsequent legislative and regulatory actions rather than election results alone. For politically associated cryptocurrencies such as TRUMP, changes in political sentiment may influence speculative demand. Establishing an actual connection requires examining trading activity around specific political developments rather than assuming that political events explain every price movement. ### TRUMP Market Activity and Liquidity Require Further Examination DeFiLlama's market data provides additional context through trading volume and derivatives activity. These indicators can help assess whether the token's price movement occurred alongside changing market participation, but derivatives volume should not be confused with actual spot-market demand. A stronger assessment would compare synchronized spot-market prices, exchange liquidity, order-book depth, futures funding rates and open interest. Bitcoin's performance over the same period would also provide a useful benchmark for determining whether TRUMP experienced token-specific weakness or broader market pressure. ### What Could Happen to TRUMP Before January 2027? The token's future performance will depend on market demand, liquidity, speculative positioning and developments affecting its political narrative. Traders and researchers will also need to monitor whether the November 4 low becomes a sustained support level or whether further selling pressure develops. The Gemini-attributed price scenarios remain unverified, and no available evidence establishes that TRUMP will reach those levels. An authenticated AI conversation and more detailed exchange-level market data would materially strengthen the reporting. ### What the Evidence Actually Shows TRUMP recorded a reported $1.22 low, Democrats secured control of Congress, and CryptoNews published a bearish prediction attributed to Gemini. These developments provide a legitimate basis for examining the token's market performance, but they do not establish a direct causal relationship between the election outcome and the price decline. The most defensible conclusion is that TRUMP experienced significant weakness during a major political transition while an unverified AI prediction attracted attention. Further market analysis is needed before drawing stronger conclusions. Sources & further reading - [https://cryptonews.com/news/gemini-ai-predicts-brutal-unwinding-trump-memecoin/?utm_source=chatgpt.com](https://cryptonews.com/news/gemini-ai-predicts-brutal-unwinding-trump-memecoin/?utm_source=chatgpt.com) - [https://defillama.com/token/TRUMP?utm_source=chatgpt.com](https://defillama.com/token/TRUMP?utm_source=chatgpt.com) ## Sitemap See the full [MemeBlock sitemap](/sitemap.md) for all pages.